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  • Tribal Rule sire of Italian Rules 1st Alw (May 24, 7th BHP). Owner, Barber, Gary and Cecil; Breeder, Nick Cafarchia...
  • Successful Appeal sire of Warning Song 1st Alw (May 24, 6th PRM). Owner, Maggi Moss; Breeder, Bloodstock Holdings LLC...
  • Luftikus sire of Joyful Kiss 1st Alw (May 23, 7th CT). Owner, Winfred L. Hess, Jr.; Breeder, Ann M. Casey...
  • Proud Citizen sire of Citizen Kat 1st Alw (May 23, 7th PEN). Owner, Midwest Thoroughbreds, Inc.; Breeder, Mark Reid & Charles Zacney...
  • Latent Heat sire of Heated Troubles 1st Mdn (May 24, 5th RD). Owner, Ashleigh Stud; Breeder, Ashleigh Stud, Frank Ramos & JackieRamos...
  • Flower Alley sire of Bouquet Booth 1st Alw (May 24, 7th CD). Owner, Right Time Racing LLC; Breeder, Brookdale & Dr. Ted Folkerth...
  • Holy Bull sire of Catalan 1st Alw (May 24, 8th BEL). Owner, Elizabeth Loftus; Breeder, B. P. Walden & Dr. S. Marcum...
  • Benchmark sire of Planet Sunshine 1st Alw (May 24, 5th GG). Owner, Thomas A. Shapiro; Breeder, Thomas Shapiro...
  • First Samurai sire of Nakano 1st Alw (May 24, 8th CRC). Owner, Thoroughbred Futures Racing; Breeder, Hubert Vester...
  • Wando sire of Deb's Girly Girl 1st Alw (May 24, 6th RD). Owner, Deborah F. Metz; Breeder, Deborah F. Metz...
  • Arch sire of Wiki 1st Alw (May 24, 2nd PID). Owner, Midwest Thoroughbreds, Inc.; Breeder, Stuart S. Janney, III LLC....
  • Chapel Royal sire of Mr Rodriguez 1st Mdn (May 24, 2nd BEL). Owner, Imperio, Michael and Loftus, Elizabeth; Breeder, Jill Imperio & Daniella Corian...
  • Medaglia d'Oro sire of Dealer 1st Alw (May 23, 8th CT). Owner, Coleswood Farm, Inc.; Breeder, Family Broodmare, LLC...
  • Tapit sire of Quail Hollow 1st Alw (May 24, 8th CT). Owner, Stevark Stable, Inc.; Breeder, Dr. O. M. Patrick...
  • B L's Appeal sire of B L's Tsumani 1st Alw (May 24, 7th PRM). Owner, Gary Spragg; Breeder, Frank Bertolino...
  • Petionville sire of Wups 1st Thoroughbred Maiden Derby (May 23, 9th BOI). Owner, Paul Treasure; Breeder, Michael Iavarone...
  • Strut the Stage sire of Head Honcho 1st Alw (May 23, 7th WO). Owner, Annecchini and D'Alimonte Holdings Inc. and Kingfield Farm; Breeder, William D. Graham...
  • Smoke Glacken sire of Walker Bay 1st Alw (May 24, 8th CD). Owner, Hammersmith, Dennis L. and Paden Racing, Inc.; Breeder, Brian O'Rourke & Derry Meeting Farm...
  • Canadian Frontier sire of Golden Frontier 1st Alw (May 24, 3rd CD). Owner, George Fister; Breeder, Brereton C. Jones...

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Odds-on favorite in 12-horse field complicates morning line

Posted: Friday, May 16, 2008 11:00 AM

by Ed DeRosa

Making Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (G1) winner Big Brown the odds-on morning line favorite to win the Preakness Stakes (G1) was a no brainer; it was deciding how his deflated price will affect the wagering on the race’s other 11 entrants that complicated the morning line process.

There is some precedence. Two of the past four and three of the past eight Preaknesses have had an odds on favorite with only Smarty Jones at 7-to-10 in 2004 winning (Barbaro at 1-to-2 in ’06 and Fusaichi Pegasus at 3-to-10 in ’00 both lost).

Smarty Jones faced nine rivals with Lion Heart the second choice at 4.9-to-1 and two other horses below 7-to-1. Everyone else was at least 12.8-to-1. Barbaro faced eight rivals, and Brother Derek was the 3.2-to-1 second choice. No other horse was less than 8-to-1.

This year, it does not appear that there is a horse besides Big Brown with enough interest to generate the type of action that either Derby runner-up Lion Heart or Santa Anita Derby (G1) winner Brother Derek did in the Preakness. There are no other Grade 1 winners in the race and only one other horse from the Derby. Still, with 11 adversaries, it will be tough for Big Brown to take enough action to be the 1-to-2 he is on the morning line. It is hard to imagine Gayego or Kentucky Bear being $20 horses in this race. For them to both be 8-to-1 and no other horse more than 30-to-1, Big Brown is likely to be 3-to-5.

Ed DeRosa is news editor of Thoroughbred Times

Post position, Horse, Odds

1. Macho Again, 25-to-1

2. Tres Borrachos, 30-to-1

3. Icabad Crane, 30-to-1

4. Yankee Bravo, 30-to-1

5. Behindatthebar, scratched

6. Racecar Rhapsody, 20-to-1

7. Big Brown, 3-to-5

8. Kentucky Bear, 8-to-1

9. Stevil, 20-to-1

10. Riley Tucker, 30-to-1

11. Giant Moon, 30-to-1

12. Gayego, 10-to-1

13. Hey Byrn, 20-to-1

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